Post by account_disabled on Feb 20, 2024 5:06:23 GMT -6
As El Confidencial Digital has learned , Rajoy has decided to delay his first government crisis as much as possible, and his calculations point to consummating it around the month of March, once the list that the Popular Party will present to the European elections has been finalized. Some party leaders and also members of the Government have insisted on the convenience of carrying out the remodeling by autumn, but the president does not see it at all clear, among other things because the situation in the country " has changed ." Spain is doing well Government sources and PP leaders consulted by ECD affirm that the main argument that Mariano Rajoy uses to rule out a government crisis in the coming months is the improvement of the economic situation in Spain . The president tells his close collaborators that, after having placed the risk premium below 300 points, and with the drop in unemployment expected in the next EPA, “it would not make any sense to make any changes now .” When asked why he does not address a change of Government now, Rajoy responds: “ Now that things are starting to go well, how am I going to change the ministers! ”.
He also believes that addressing this remodeling before 2014, to release ministers who are 'burned out', would open internal struggles too soon, and also without having the option of 'placing' some of them in the European Parliament. Ministers on the Special Database European list Rajoy is very clear that the ideal moment to proceed to introduce changes in his team has to be the end of the first quarter of 2014, when the PP draws up the list of candidates for the European elections in May . As reported in these pages, the president's idea is to include several ministers as candidates for the European Parliament , with the aim that one of them can also occupy a relevant police station within the EU: that of Economy, that of Competition, or that of Agriculture . The names of Miguel Arias Cañete, Luis de Guindos and Ana Mato are already considered practically safe on the PP list, so the Government crisis would materialize a few weeks before the names of the PP candidates were announced. Don't disconcert Germany Another reason, this one of international convenience, that Rajoy uses for not applying changes in the short term also has to do with the elections in Germany, scheduled for next November .
The president considers that, if Angela Merkel were re-elected (as all the polls predict), it would make no sense to announce changes and that the Germans would have to meet new faces in the Government of Spain. And if Merkel loses, it is better to maintain, in the eyes of Europe, an image of stability in Spain , without changes of ministers immediately after the German elections. Government Crisis and Debate on the State of the Nation Furthermore, Mariano Rajoy considers that the realization of a Government crisis at the end of the first quarter of 2014 would also allow him to take stock of the management of the outgoing ministers and present a remodeled Executive during the Debate on the State of the Nation. As happened in 2013, this special plenary session in Congress will be held in the first months of the year , and not before the summer, as the current legislature opened in November. For the president, this Debate, in which his first two years of Government will be analyzed, is one more argument to postpone the changes in his cabinet until 2014.